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by Roma Victor, Level 49
Last updated at March 16, 2009, 11:32 pm
I predicted early on in the season that the route Lord Kalgan and his merry band were taking would result in much less participation.  There's plenty of reasons for this that have been talked to death so I won't rehash them here.  Instead I was perusing the Season 5 ArenaJunkies title calculator to see if I would indeed qualify for DEADLY RIVAL (I should) and decided to compare against Season 4 numbers.  Wow, not pretty.

The Bottom Line
Based on the numbers compared on AJ between S4 and S5, the US battlegroups have 419,000 less teams participating across all brackets.  On average, every US battlegroup and bracket saw a 65% decline in participation.  Ouch.  I know people may say that participation is lower because not everyone is L80, but even still.  65% lower?  That seems incredibly low for slow leveling alone, but pretty accurate anecdotally.  3/4 of my friends no longer arena after participating Seasons 1-4.

The Fix
Some simple fixes that should increase casual participation:
1- Get rid of PR requirements off everything but the current top set/offset pieces.
2- Scrap the godawful blue starter arena set.
3- Allow last season's lower tier gear to be purchasable with gold, or failing that, pure honor at a greatly reduced price.
4- Eliminate PVE gear in arena (okay, this will never happen, but I can dream)

Basically give people a reason to participate without having to grind 400K+ honor to survive more than a few globals.  Arena can be lots of fun - make it so that people's first experience is positive and not just getting blown up over and over.

The Raw Data
This wasn't actually what I planned on posting about tonight but the data just floored me.  I really don't have anything else to add. The data speaks for itself.  Enjoy.

 

S4

S5

Difference

% Change

US-Bloodlust

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

47117

17416

-29,701

-63.04%

3v3

18462

7013

-11,449

-62.01%

5v5

5452

1696

-3,756

-68.89%

US-Cyclone

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

38317

13645

-24,672

-64.39%

3v3

15684

5170

-10,514

-67.04%

5v5

3814

1069

-2,745

-71.97%

US-Emberstorm

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

15571

7967

-7,604

-48.83%

3v3

6183

2657

-3,526

-57.03%

5v5

1491

464

-1,027

-68.88%

US-Nightfall

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

33710

12277

-21,433

-63.58%

3v3

13357

4579

-8,778

-65.72%

5v5

3407

908

-2,499

-73.35%

US-Rampage

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

37836

13100

-24,736

-65.38%

3v3

15927

4877

-11,050

-69.38%

5v5

3670

946

-2,724

-74.22%

US-Reckoning

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

39582

13972

-25,610

-64.70%

3v3

16288

5370

-10,918

-67.03%

5v5

4195

1081

-3,114

-74.23%

US-Retaliation

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

16393

7004

-9,389

-57.27%

3v3

6405

2383

-4,022

-62.79%

5v5

1683

420

-1,263

-75.04%

US-Ruin

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

42687

14378

-28,309

-66.32%

3v3

17840

5933

-11,907

-66.74%

5v5

4703

1234

-3,469

-73.76%

US-Shadowburn

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

35652

13602

-22,050

-61.85%

3v3

14169

5358

-8,811

-62.19%

5v5

3888

1093

-2,795

-71.89%

US-Stormstrike

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

33253

14055

-19,198

-57.73%

3v3

13350

5414

-7,936

-59.45%

5v5

3477

1067

-2,410

-69.31%

US-Vengeance

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

32240

14171

-18,069

-56.05%

3v3

12475

5193

-7,282

-58.37%

5v5

3298

982

-2,316

-70.22%

US-Vindication

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

39376

14352

-25,024

-63.55%

3v3

16040

5786

-10,254

-63.93%

5v5

4116

1168

-2,948

-71.62%

US-Whirlwind

  

 

 

Bracket

~Active Teams

~Active Teams

 

 

2v2

27262

9836

-17,426

-63.92%

3v3

10782

3660

-7,122

-66.05%

5v5

2826

720

-2,106

-74.52%

 

 

 

 

'

TOTALS:

  

  

419,962

65.70%

 


     
123 comments
Limewire
Limewire Mar 16, 2009 at 11:41 pm
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+2 votes
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Subparbdf
Subparbdf Mar 17, 2009 at 12:41 pm
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+1 votes
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Folly
Folly Mar 16, 2009 at 11:41 pm
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+1 votes
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shindofivezorz
shindofivezorz Mar 16, 2009 at 11:44 pm
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+5 votes
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i would like to see the numbers of every season
huck
huck Mar 17, 2009 at 12:21 am
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+2 votes
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He pulled that off AJ so they could very easily have all seasons, or at least the ones they ran a glad calculator (not sure if they did it for season one).
Roma Victor
Roma Victor Mar 17, 2009 at 6:32 am
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+2 votes
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huck said
He pulled that off AJ so they could very easily have all seasons, or at least the ones they ran a glad calculator (not sure if they did it for season one).
AJ does have data for every season, but in the discussion of how they calc they said that S3's numbers were way off due to a problem with their calcs.  S4 and S5 are supposedly very accurate, and the most recent, so I thought they would prove to be the most reliable.
Arterian
Arterian Mar 17, 2009 at 12:20 am unhide comment
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-18 votes
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Klynx
Klynx Mar 17, 2009 at 10:20 am
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I blame it on that too.  I mean - we're talking vengeful blogger Klynx here... and I haven't hit 80 yet on any character because of an alt and RL preventing me from activating wotlk until a few weeks ago.

yeah. 
DeadLy
DeadLy Mar 25, 2009 at 1:51 am
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+1 votes
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Riddler
Riddler Mar 17, 2009 at 12:24 am
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+4 votes
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very interesting. what would also be very interesting but very hard to get the data for, is what group of players are quitting arenas in the largest numbers? for example are there less repeat gladiators playing now than in s3/s4 (almost impossible to know due to no dks having a title). or is it the group of people that usually stay in the 1500s or the 1800s?

i just want to know where we see the biggest cut. 
Kodite
Kodite Mar 26, 2009 at 7:50 am
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+1 votes
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This would be valuable information.

I sure as hell haven't bothered to take PvP seriously since my Mage has been my main.
Brooch Fan
Brooch Fan Mar 17, 2009 at 12:27 am
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+9 votes
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The highest tier of PvE gear (226) being easier than ever to attain, the argument can go either way:

a) any idiot can get the best gear in game, why not outlaw it

or

b) go pug and get some good rolls or raid consistently for a month or two and get full purps or just the KT weaps, which is a best in slot in arena for veritably 100% of all classes.

I lol'd when I saw the AJ numbers. IMO this easymode pve makes people (ie most of my guild) take their 2+ alts to different naxx runs every week, making arena all the more pointless and easier to ignore. Why bang your head doing arena when you can easily maintain 5 alts in full purples!?

It's really unfortunate how they've raped this game since TBC. It was satisfying doing content that only a fraction of the millions that play get to see, which dare I say required an astronomical amount more effort and preparation even imaginable compared to today's raiding standards. RIP the game as we knew it.
Yvel
Yvel Mar 17, 2009 at 12:37 am
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+2 votes
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I might of missed this so correct if I am wrong. Did you take into account that people are no longer team swapping and are being limited to one team per bracket? I know I had over 10 teams I would rotate on between my rogue in previous seasons. This could lead to skewed numbers.
Roma Victor
Roma Victor Mar 17, 2009 at 6:35 am
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+1 votes
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Did you take into account that people are no longer team swapping and are being limited to one team per bracket?
That's a good point, in that if you had multiple active teams and now you only have one the numbers would be artificially inflated. Even so, I doubt 65% of the current players were all players from previous seasons down to one team.
Abdoom
Abdoom Mar 17, 2009 at 9:18 am
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+1 votes
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It is easier to team swap now than it was in season 4 thanks to the hidden rating, then again this means remaking teams is also pointless and 900 rated players still get their 300 points at the end of the week after going 0-10.
Hushpuppy
Hushpuppy Mar 17, 2009 at 12:44 am
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+13 votes
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Not surprising at all.

- The new arena system
- Deathknights
- Damage being too high
- 3-4 Classes being deemed useless due to Deathknights instead of the typical 1-2. (Druids, Mages, Warriors, Rogues)
-Overall class balance.

If they simply remove Deathknights (they won't, but I can also dream), and magnify Resilience they'll be helping this game exponentially.

But they won't, because they want money, not quality.

Good night.
airex
airex Mar 17, 2009 at 3:37 pm
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+1 votes
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effo
effo Mar 20, 2009 at 11:10 am
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+1 votes
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dont know about mages but dk's rape rogues
El Conando
El Conando Mar 17, 2009 at 1:10 am
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+4 votes
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Next Season, regarding your desired fixes Blizzard has already announced:

1. Mid Tier Gear, i.e. Deadly gear will be available at ratings starting at 1350-1550, or Emblems of Conquest

2 &3 . Low Tier Gear, i.e. Hateful is purchasable by honor/ Emblems of Valor

4. Not going to happen

My Personal Experience Playing Arenas when I started on my Mage:

1. The 1500s in this season is what used to be the 1600s-early 1700s last season, since all the previous 1400-1500 rated players stopped playing

2. The Hateful gear is really out of grasp for the vast majority of players. If you sustain a few losses early on for whatever reason(like not being familiar with DKs or whatever), your Match-making rating (MMR) gets dragged down somewhere in the low 1400s. To get back to the 1600s after a bad start for the first pieces of deadly gear in a reasonable time frame, you have to sustain a win rate of about 90%. If you can't do that (say you play a really sub-optimal comp) even with a 2:1 W/L ratio, increasing you rating becomes extremely ardous, due to the massive ratings you lose due to losses.
Sedah
Sedah Mar 19, 2009 at 7:54 pm
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+1 votes
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Whats the point of sub-1500 rating requirements?
greenmachine
greenmachine Mar 17, 2009 at 1:15 am
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+7 votes
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Arena sucks. I hate it. And making the gear way harder to get just made it even worse. Having said that... I'd still love for a year round tournament realm where they provide all the gear for you and you can play any class you want at max level. I can't ******* stand leveling and I'm bored with my current class and there's no way in hell I'm rerolling from level 1 to 80. That's just not ******* happening, It would would take me half a year to do that playing almost every day. As it stands now I'm going to quit the game out of boredom. The only way I'd keep playing is if they opened a permanent automatic max level realim with premade characters.
Roma Victor
Roma Victor Mar 17, 2009 at 6:37 am
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+6 votes
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I'd still love for a year round tournament realm where they provide all the gear for you and you can play any class you want at max level. I can't ******* stand leveling and I'm bored with my current class and there's no way in hell I'm rerolling from level 1 to 80.
Yeah, I'd love that as well. The rerolling/leveling is pure hell.
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